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Climate update today: Do you ask when the monsoon will finally bring relief to its state? As temperatures rise throughout the country, the IMD has published new updates on the expected arrival of the monsoon and the regions that the rain will probably see today. This is what you need to know
This year’s Monzón season is expected to last from June to September, bring rains above normal, benefiting agriculture, water resources and the economy. (AI generated)
Will the monsoon arrive earlier than expected this year? As people in various parts of the country fight with the heat wave, the Indian weather department offers a ray of hope. The indications suggest that the southwest monsoon could enter India a little earlier than usual, and the IMD has also predicted the rain above normal.
The IMD predicts that the southwest monsoon will arrive in India before this year. The monsoon season, from June to September, is expected to bring more rain than normal. This could impact the possibility that agriculture, water resources and the general economic activities of the country such as India, being an agrarian economy, receives about 75% of its annual duration of the southwest monzón rain.
This rain is crucial for crops such as rice, wheat and pulses, as well as for the recharge of deposits, mineral extraction and energy generation. Therefore, a monsoon above normal would be beneficial for the country’s production and food economy.
Rain projections
According to the Department of Meteorology, this year’s monzonic rain is expected to be 105% of the average of 1971-2020 in the long term (LPA) or 87 cm, with a possible margin or error O ± 5%. This suggests that most regions will receive significantly more rain than usual.
The forecast indicates:
- 33% possibilities of rainfall above normal,
- 30% normal rain possibilities,
- 26% excessive rain possibilities,
- 2% possibilities of weak rain and
- 9% of rain possibilities below normal.
The IMD general director, Dr. M Mohapatra, declared: “With the combined probability that weak and poor rain is only 11%, we can surely say that a weak monsoon is unlikely this year.”
Dr. M Ravishankar, Secretary, Ministry of Science and Technology, mentioned that with the exception of Ladakh, Bihar, Tamil Nadu and the Northast, it is likely that most parts of the country receive excess rainfall. Tamil Nadu is expected, which generally does not receive many rains that the southwest monzón does, to follow this trend.
Factors that contribute to a favorable rain forecast
Several climatic conditions are favorable for the monsoon this year:
- Enso (oscillation from the southern El Niño) remains neutral, indicating stable temperatures of surface water in the Pacific Ocean.
- The Dipolo of the Indian Ocean (IOD) is also expected to remain neutral, helping the flow of normal monzón.
- The low snowfall in the Euroasymatic and north hemisphere from January to March have created an environment conducive to the monsoon.
Monsoon situation in different Indian states
The previous forecasts predicted the intense heat and continuous heat waves in Rajasthan with yellow alerts and oranges emitted for several districts in mid -April. This heat helps create favorable conditions for the monsoon, since the highest temperatures strengthen the winds of the monsoon. The scientific forecasts indicate that the monsoon will arrive in Rajasthan at the end of June or early July, with total rain above normal.
Typically, the Monzón arrives in Kerala around June 1 and Western Bengal in mid -June. If the conditions are favorite, the southern Bengala could experience the monsoon from June 12 to 15, with northern Bengala receiving it a little earlier.
According to the last IMD bulletin, a channel from South Madhya Pradesh to Bengala and another from South Madhya Pradesh to Karnataka will make the light moderate the rains during the next five days in Andhra Pradesh, Andangana, Andangana, Andangana, Andangana, Andangana, Andangana, Andangana, Andangana, Andangana SPEEDS or 30-4 kilometers kilometers.
On Wednesday, Andhra Pradesh is expected to experience light to moderate rain, particularly in coastal areas, with temperatures between 32 ° C and 36 ° C. Despite the low pressure weakened in the Bengal Bay, there may be suction rainfall in some places. Fishermen are advised to avoid going to the sea.
In Telangana, including Hyderabad, partially cloudy skies and light rain are anticipated. Temperatures will range between 30 ° C and 34 ° C, with wind speeds or 20-30 kmph. Electric storms can cause waterlogging in some districts, and residents in low areas must remain alert.
Rain alert in Andhra Pradesh and Telangana
Based on data from 2,817 automated weather stations, coastal areas in Andhra Pradesh may experience wind speeds or 35-45 kmph. The Telangana State Development Planning Society (TSDPS) is also closely monitoring the weather. The authorities of both states have issued warnings and urged residents to take the necessary precautions.
The clouds are moving through both states, with chances of showers in eastern Telangana and the Andhra coast in the morning, continuing on the Andhra coast during the day. The rain will begin in the center of Telangana and the east of Rayalaseaem after 3 pm, increasing in intensity. Hyderabad can see rain after 5 PM and West Rayalaseaem after 7 pm.
Moderate rains are expected, with a strong sporadic rain. The wind speeds will reach 30-40 kmph before the rain.
On Wednesday, temperatures in Andhra Pradesh will range between 34 ° C and 39 ° C, with hot conditions in Rayalaseaem until the afternoon. Despite rain and clouds, it will remain hot. Moisture is 40% in Telangana and 55% in Andhra Pradesh. At night, moisture increases to 65% in Telangana and 80% in Andhra Pradesh. While it can feel bustling, the cold wind will provide some relief. Travelers are recommended to take precautions.