Let’s focus on national goals, not a collapsing neighbour

At first, allow me to admit that I am Gen-Jurassic Park, born in 1953, the last lot of engineering that has used the sliding rule for my father! I have progressed from the slide rule to Fortran IV, Mainframe Burroughs 6800 in 1980, mini-employment, iPad and portable computers of Apple, and mobile phones that have more computer power than the ENIAC (electronic numerical integrator and computer).

In 1962, I saw the Indian Army returned from the war with China (later saw Haqeeqat With tears in my eyes, and every time I listen to can Tai “Aye Mere Watan Ke Logon“I Have Goosebumps); In 1965 Read How the Indian Army rear the Ichhogil Canal; in 1971, India withstood the pre-Empress Strikes of the Pakistan Air Force (PAF) on Indian Airbases and the Not-SO-SUBTLE BLACMAIL by The Funbo and Gunbo The Funbo And Gunpaa And Gunpaa And Guna And Gunbo and The Funbo and Gunbo The Funbo and Gunbo The Funbo and Gunbo and the Funbo PL480, and the birth of Bangladesh;

In my life, we have progressed to be a beggar nation, looking for affirmation for our way of life from the western world, to one of the largest economies in the world: 4th or 5th, they let economists be ruined about it.

As things are today, we are a country of grain -surplus, and the government has enough to supply free food to 60-80 million children, let economists apply to numbers. The world’s global economic perspective for 2025 GDPs of India’s GDP at $ 4.3 billion or there and a GDP growth rate of 6.2–6.5%, capable of reaching the mythical economy of $ 5 billion by 2027.

I asked Chatgpt: “What can be the cost of an India – Pakistan War today?” And I get the following answer:

The cost of a hypothetical India War -Pakistan today would be astronomical, with impacts of economic, human, environmental and voltage geopolitics. While no estimate can be exactly without the specific scenario, here is a breakdown or probable costs in terms of 2025:

The estimated cost per day of a conventional conventional war war in 2025 could vary from $ 1 billion to $ 2.5 billion dollars per day.

Human cost

• Military victims: Tens of thousands on both sides, depending on the scale and duration.
• Civil Victims: Probably in the hundreds of thousands if the urban are attacked.
• Displacement: Millions could be displaced due to the fight near borders or urban centers.

Economic cost

India:

• Direct war expenses: $ 50– $ 100+ billion (air implementation deposit, naval and land force).
• GDP Impact: Estimated 2 to 5% fall in the GDP growth rate for at least 1 to 2 years.
• Stock market accident: Loss of market capitalization or $ 200–500 billion in a matter of days.
• Foreign investment extraction and credit sales.

Pakistan:

• Direct war expenses: $ 15– $ 30+ billion.
• GDP Impact: Much more severe: probably recession or collapse of economic growth.
• High inflation and collapse of currencies.

Nuclear risk

If the conflict becomes nuclear weapons:

• Victims: Dozens of millions dead.
• Environmental consequences: Radioactive pollution that affects agriculture, health and regional climate (“nuclear winter”).
• Global economic shock: Losses in billions or dollars worldwide; Stock markets would fall; Oil prices could shoot.

Geopolitical and diplomatic consequences

• A, the United States, China, Russia and others would diplomatically intervene.
• They could follow commercial sanctions, arms embargoes and international isolation.
• South Asia would become a highly volatile global inflammation point.

Recovery time

• Economic: 5-10 years to return to the growth of before the war.
• Social: Intergenerational trauma, militarization and instability could persist for decades.

Comparative example:

• Kargil’s War (1999) cost India around RS 5,000 million rupees (~ $ 1.2 billion at that time) for a brief conflict. A large -scale war of today would be 50 to 100 times more expensive.

In summary, an India-Pakistan war of full scale would probably cost fighters of billions of dollars and would result in a unprecedented humanitarian and gopolitical catastrophe, especially if nuclear weapons are involved. All probability, Pakistan would be a radioactive dirt and the north and west of devastated India (Third World War of Hawksley, 2003). Our cold starting doctrine would force Pakistan to use their first tactical nuclear weapons, leading the way for the second attack of the nuclear triad India, long before any mediation. The United Nations, to paraphrase Bishen Bedi, are a “group of jokes” in the best case.

To summarize, Pakistan is a failed state whose Reason for being It is “denial of India”, directed by an army that needs a constant justification for its existence by denying the idea of ​​a united, multicultural, multiethnic and vibrant democracy that is India. Do I need to repeat the tired joke, “each country has an army; the Pakistan army has a country”?

We represent 1.4 billion of 8.4 billion that inhabit the planet Earth, of a sixth part of humanity, and we have higher objectives: remain a vibrant democracy, become a country developed in the not so distant future. Pahalgam is an abomination perpetrated by sick and sadistic minds, but if the world can forget Auschwitz, Dachau and Buchenwald and move on, can we move on? Do we want another Hiroshima or Nagasaki when India and Pakistan have about 170 nuclear eyelets each, according to Sipri?

War and decimation will only create more afflicted widows, orphaned children and sad parents. War is a wonderful thing, feeds the car of patriotism and holds the military-industrial complex that Eisenhower had noticed in his farewell speech, “in the government’s advice, we must protect the influence, Wete Squisition of Insegurization, WetthetceCececececececec.

The existentialist fear of fear or Pakistan can only be treated by its people when they rise against the reign of power of the army, almost endlessly as creation on August 14, 1947. We, the new India, now we have higher objectives, an economy of geopolitics bytegenened and a young population and vacuum. Our diaspora directs the largest world bodies, academia and corporations. Let’s see beyond this incident and focus on promoting our national goals instead of playing for Tit-Forfor Tat with an impoverished neighbor, whose house is falling separately!

End of the article