The Canada banker turned into a first -level minister achieved a political miracle, leading his party to survey an abyss to a rare fourth term in power and ensure the high work of the government after the policy after the interview only three months ago.
Mark Carnge, the new leader of the country, told the Canadians that he was the right person to face President Trump and that, with his experience in economics, he knew how to boost the country’s dull economy and fortify it in turbulent times.
Now he has to do all that real, and quickly, as his country moves from a prolonged period of political agitation and faces the consequences of a commercial war with his closest and most economical ally. Partner: United States.
Disorder at home
When Mr. Carney’s predecessor, Justin Trudeau, announced in January that he would resign after 10 years leading Canada, created a strange opportunity to which Mr. Carney jumped.
But after Mr. Carney won the race to replace Mr. Trudeau in March as prime minister and leader of the Liberal Party, hey also inherited a disorderly at home that must now assume urgently.
The Canadian Parliament has not been in session since before Christmas, after Mr. Trudeau suspended his activities to be able to celebrate the liberal leadership elections that raised Mr. Carney.
As a result, the country has a leg in a state of political instability for months without the capacity to pursue a legislative agenda.
And Mr. Carney still does not have his own cabinet: he made small changes in the inherited from Mr. Trudeau, but it is likely that he puts his personal seal to the government by choosing the main ministers now that he has won the national elections.
Mr. Carney must move quickly to win the necessary parliamentary allies and guarantee the stability of his party while preventing him from becoming vulnerable to collapse through a vote of non -confidence, which would trigger new elections.
“The first order of the business is to obtain a cabinet and recover the Parliament as soon as possible,” said Matthew Holmes, a senior executive from Canadian Chambers of Commerce, which represents commercial interests.
“We need to see the prime minister enter and advance quickly to the legislation,” said Holmes. “There is no honeymoon for this prime minister.”
Stability now
A key speech for Canadians who worked in favor of Mr. Carney at the polls was that he was exactly the right leader to navigate the global trade and security rearrangement promoted by Trump.
The experience of Mr. Carney fits the main main institutions through height, including the Bank of England through Brexit, were key to convincing many Canadians who supported their own that their credentials were aligned with the challenges faced by Canada.
Canadian companies look for Mr. Carney to restore a sense of order to trade with the United States. Mr. Trump’s tariffs on Canadian goods have been a mobile objective, with the administration, retreating some taxes, while new ones apply, without a sense of a coherent economic justification. The results have stopped for private sector investment in Canada, said Holmes. Mr. Carney must address that immediately, he said.
“Capital is frozen and paralyzed seeing the commercial war and not knowing what the future will be,” said Holmes. “You need to inject certainty into that.”
Anti-Trump
The Carney’s frame or its campaign around Trump’s threats to Canada has raised it to a global anti-trump figure. He is the first important leader to be chosen in an explicitly Anti-Trump campaign from the re-election of Mr. Trump.
“As I warn for months, the United States wants our land, our resources, our water,” Carney told the followers gathered in Ottawa, the capital of Canada, in the early hours of Tuesday to celebrate his victory. “President Trump is trying to break us so he can own us. That will never happen,” he added as the Boud crowd.
Later on Tuesday, the two men spoke on the phone, said their offices, and agreed to meet soon.
Mr. Carney’s burning rhetoric could be a problem if the two leaders speak in person. Carney has said that he hears the respect of Mr. Trump, while also open to discussions about how the future relationship between the two countries on various issues will be, including trade and security.
“There is an appetite in the West to find an anti-trump figure to occupy the mantle of the free world,” said Stephen Wertheim, a member of the Carnegie Dotment for International Peace. “I think it’s a dangerous proposal.”
“At the moment when the media begin to promote a foreign leader as the hand of the global Anti-Trump resistance, which will put a goal on the back of that leader,” Wertheim added.
Carney is likely to reach a more nuanced tone behind closed doors with Trump, but the Canadian public will look for the challenge and pride he promised in the campaign.
And the fact is that the United States has imposed tariffs on the Canadian key sectors, such as the automotive industry, and that Trump continues to say regularly Hey Canada to become the state 51, even on the day of the Canadian elections.
Wertheim said Mr. Carney should ignore threats and focus on reaching an agreement. “I think Carney should be too obsessed with the threat of annexation,” he said. “If Trump makes one, it will probably be half a joke, and Carney should return and smile.”
Host
An early evidence of Mr. Carney’s capacity to manage with Mr. Trump will take place when organizing the group of 7 leaders of industrialized economies in Kananaskis, Alberta, in June.
Mr. Trump is expected to attend, and will be among the closest allies in the United States, all the What have been beaten with US tariffs.
Mr. Carney, on the contrary, will be among friends, in his own backyard. He has a personal relationship with President Emmanuel Macron de France and Prime Minister Keir Starmer of Great Britain, and seeks to negotiate a military expense Treat with Ursula von der Leyen, the senior European Union official.
It is not clear that, in any case, it will be decided at the summit, since global meetings such as the thesis tend to be coordinated by policy at a high level instead of producing something specific.
Even so, there is a great margin of error. The last time Mr. Trump attended a G7 summit in Canada, he had an explosion with Mr. Trudeau, Anodyne’s joint statement did not sign, and then called Mr. Trudeau “two faces.”
Mr. Carney will need to closely manage the event to try to avoid any unpleasant.
“The Summit of G7 leaders in June will really shape the early evaluation of their success,” said Holmes. “This is what campaigned, which can handle a very complex international geopolitical situation.”
