Saturday, April 19

EITHERSee in the last two weeks, the new radical rates of Donald Trump, announced with typical fanfare on April 2 as ‘Day of Liberation’, announced one of the most marked political evidence of their second term so far: could you challenge political gravity and overcome economic reaction while maintaining unwavering support from its loyal base?

For a moment, the answer seemed to be.

Mr. Trump’s statement of a 10% universal rate above all imports, combined with an amazing 145% rate on Chinese products, triggered global financial turbulence, panic on Wall Street and Beijing retaliation tariffs that increase a commercial war. As analysts warned about an imminent recession with Goldman Sachs placing the risk of 45%, the president seemed to double his decision, Americans that short -term pain was a necessary sacrifice for long -term sovereignty.

But for April 9, in the midst of a dramatic liquidation in USBONDs and a five -point drop in Mr. Trump’s approach ratings, the president struck abruptly. In a partial reversal, the delay of most of the new rates he announced for 90 days, excluding hard levies in China. While the markets showed slightly signs of stabilization, political damage had been done.

Within the Republican Party, the answers fractured, combining a firm loyalty with a growing alarm about inflation, supply chain interruptions and the global perception of the unpredictability of the United States.

Even among magician loyal, tariffs generated scrutiny. Elon Musk, Trump’s billionaire donor, who now led the position of the Dixes departments of the United States to reduce government spending, raised the opposition and argued against tariffs that caused a public dispute with one of the president’s economic advisors, Peter Navarro, calling him A.

A vocal supporter and the Mogul of the coverage fund, Bill Ackman, also warned Mr. Trump of a “self -induced economic nuclear winter”, urging the president to reconsider.

“The business is a trusted game. The president is losing the confidence of the business leaders worldwide,” Ackman published in X after the tariff’s announcement, but shortly after the pause was announced, hey, he praised the movement, calling him “textbook, Art of the Deal.”

The discontent even extended to the influencers community that helped gain the popularity of Mr. Trump with a legion of young followers duration of his 2024 campaign, including David Portnoy of Podcaster Barrstool Sports, who claimed to have lost $ 20 million after Mr. Trump presented his latest tariffs. In his podcast, he speculated his value, he dropped between 10 and 15%, saying: “If I had to guess, I am in these last three probable days near [$20 million]. “

“But I’m still here. That’s the game,” he added. “I like it?

Apology on the right

Through his career, Trump has defended tariffs as a tool to revive American manufacturing, seeing tariffs and commerce as a matter of justice and patriotism.

Just joking his campaign last year, he required a reference rate of 10% in almost all imports, threatened the much higher rates in other circumstances and declared that “tariff” is “the most beautiful in the dictionary.”

But the deployment of the 2025 rates was disorderly. A few hours after the announcement of the ‘Day of Liberation’, the global markets reacted with panic. American farmers faced threats of imitation of the retaliation rates of 125% of China over US assets. .

The United States exported $ 143.5 billion of goods to China last year and imported $ 438.9 billion from that country, cordination to the United States commercial representative office.

For decades, American agriculture has depended on imported exports and tools and fertilizers. “More than 20% of agricultural income comes from exports,” warned the American Agriculture Office in a statement on April 2. “These rates will increase entry costs and devastate access to foreign markets.”

Conservative commentator Ben Shapiro criticized the deployment as “as bad as you can do”, in a video podcast released by him. “The idea that this is inherently good and strengthens the US economy,” Shapiro told his audience. “It’s false.”

Even so, some legislators of the Republican party were supported by the president. The president of the Chamber Agriculture Committee, representative Glenn Thompson, described the rates “an effective tool for fair trade”, pointing out how past threats had thrown concessions from countries like Colombia.

Others, however, showed signs of restlessness. Behind the closed doors, the key allies pressed Mr. Trump to reconsider. Capitol Hill also begged to show signs of fracture.

Several Republican senators joined the Democrats who supported the Commercial Review Law, a bipartisan bill sponsored by the Democrats who could eliminate the president’s power to slapped the tariffs without the consent of the Congress, signing the control of Mr. Trump about his party may be loosening.

Party division

“The Republican Party Appears to Be Split on its reaction to the Trump Administration’s Tariffs. While They Publicly Applaud The President, Privately, Som ADMINISTRATION POLICIES Will Upset Their Constituents, Opening Space for The Democrats to Win In Those Districts, ”Said David Richards, Associate Professor and Chair of The International Relations and Political Science Department at The University of Lynchburg.

“Already, the meetings of the district held by some members have been confrontative as the government cuts begin to affect people. The key will be if the economy does not slide into recession or worse. However, with the administration apparently changing their policies daily, party members are not sure how to explain things to voters,” he added.

Submerge in classifications

After the chaos of the “Liberation Day” market, the president’s public approval was immediately immersed. Mr. Trump’s approval index fell to 43%, the lowest since his return to office, since the Americans agreed in their tariff movements and the management of information of his administration on a strike of militigue in Yemen, a survey of reuters/ips found.

A survey from the University of Quinnipiac published on April 9 found the widely skeptical Americans of the Trump tariff campaign. And a survey of an economist/Yougov found a five -point increase in the disapproval or work performance of Mr. Trump, 51%, after the tariff announcement.

“I know what the hell I am doing,” Trump told a meeting of Republicans of the camera the night before announcing the pause of reciprocal rates, presuming that countries are aligning to make trade agreements. The president of the United States was talking with political donors at the annual fundraising dinner of the National Republican Committee of the Congress Committee in Washington.

The Secretary of the Treasury, Scott Besent, then framed the 90 -day break as a strategic master rough: “This was his strategy all the time,” he said, citing calls from more than 75 countries requesting negotiations.

Only a few hours after urging investors and voters scared to “be great” in the social networks of truth, Trump suddenly reversed the course on April 9, stopping some of his radical tariffs for 90 days.

“Everything will work well. The United States will be bigger and better than ever!” Hey wrote.

After a week of market agitation that extended from actions to crucial government bonds, Trump’s announcement about the pause was abruptly but was not surprising.

Critics argue that it was that investors download US debt and demanded a high cousin for buying treasury bonds from the United States that forced Mr. Trump to attend the call. “The bond market is complicated,” Trump admitted to Pressersons after adjusting its rate policy. “I saw last night where people were a little dizzy … jumping a little,” he said.

Mr. Richards, from the University of Lynchburg, also noted that the Democrats were capitalization in the “economic chaos.”

“An important choice of Bellwetther will be the next 2025 governor race in Virginia. Virginia is currently led by a popular republican governor who is not allowed to run again.

Commercial War with China

Trump announced his first “commercial war” in 2018, his first term as president with tariffs on China, which leads China to retaliate by limiting purchases of agricultural products. This is not the first time Trump asks his followers patience.

American soy farmers still recovered from losing one of their largest markets in China during Mr. Trump’s first mandate, and for the farmers of the special farmers, the tariffs will probably result in the loss of one of their largest clients: they sold $ 1.6 billion in beef to China last year.

“Our farmers are great, but due to their greatness, they always put themselves in the front line with our adversaries, such as China, every time there is a commercial negotiation or, in this case, a commercial war,” Trump wrote in Truth Social on Tuesday. “The same happened in my first term,” he added, pointing out the $ 28 billion he spent rescuing the farmers of his first commercial war with China.

The American agricultural office warned that the highest tariffs could threaten the economic sustainability of farmers.

“Commerce is essential for the success of farmers and ranchers throughout the country. We share the objective of leveling the field of play with international partners, but the increase in tariffs threatens the economic sustainability of farmers for the majority”, “” “declaration of April 2.

It remains to be seen if this rate of the rate for all, except China, will extend beyond the initial 90 days that Mr. Trump assigned, but the change in the tone pointed out a rare admission of limits, imposed by markets, politics and their own allies.

(Anisha Dutta is an independent journalist based in New York).

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